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Home @NYTimes

Worried About the Economy Amid Trump’s Tariffs? Building an Emergency Fund Can Help.

May 10, 2025
in @NYTimes, Business
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Worried About the Economy Amid Trump’s Tariffs? Building an Emergency Fund Can Help.
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One bit of advice: Putting aside $2,000 to cover surprise expenses, like a car or home repair, can help you avoid credit cards. Experts have more tips on saving.

You have no control over the volatility in financial markets or the economic tumult caused by President Trump’s tariff policies. But you can prepare for financial potholes by bolstering your rainy-day fund.

“Emergency savings is one of the single best predictors of a person’s financial well-being,” said Stephen Roll, co-director of research and policy innovation at the Center for Social Development at Washington University in St. Louis, where he studies economic security.

Consumers are facing more uncertainty than usual about the economy. While the labor market has held steady, with unemployment at 4.2 percent in April, the Trump administration’s pursuit of tariffs has rekindled worries about both inflation and a possible business slump.

“Nobody can predict what’s going to happen,” said Ramit Sethi, the author of personal finance books, including “Money for Couples.” “I’m hoping everything goes well.” But in case it doesn’t, he said, it’s wise to create a cash cushion.

How much should I save in an emergency fund?

Vanguard, the big mutual fund company, suggests setting aside $2,000, or half of one month’s expenses, whichever is greater, as a buffer to cover unexpected but common “shocks,” like a car or home repair or medical bill. Then, to protect against a possible job loss, it suggests continuing to save to build a buffer of three to six months of living expenses so you can pay your bills while looking for another job. (The average span of unemployment was just under six months, according to the latest jobs report.)

With roughly $2,000 on hand, people can generally cover unforeseen costs without resorting to credit cards, which carry double-digit interest rates, said Paulo Costa, a senior behavioral economist at Vanguard who is also a certified financial planner. “The initial $2,000 is really what makes a big difference,” he said, by helping people avoid becoming financially derailed by common, if unanticipated, expenses. “Having it when you need it provides people with a lot of peace of mind.”

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